Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction | 01.25.26

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 25-01-2026

The regular-season grind brings us a compelling matchup on January 25, 2026, as the Dallas Mavericks (19-27) travel to Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee to face the Milwaukee Bucks (18-26) at 7:00 PM. Both franchises find themselves struggling below .500, making this a crucial contest for momentum and playoff aspirations, albeit one heavily impacted by significant injury woes.

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Matchup Preview

Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends

The Mavericks arrive in Milwaukee in a challenging stretch, compounded by an extensive injury list. Offensively, rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has been a bright spot, leading the team with 18.8 points per game and boasting an impressive all-around rating of 18.8 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.8 BPG. His versatility is vital. P.J. Washington is holding down the boards with 7.3 rebounds per game, while Ryan Nembhard orchestrates the offense, dishing out 5.2 assists per game. Despite these individual efforts, Dallas has struggled for consistent scoring and defensive integrity, particularly in the paint, which is further exacerbated by their current health crisis.

Injury Report Dallas Mavericks

• Moussa Cisse (Out): Cisse (illness) won’t play in Saturday’s game against the Lakers.
• Anthony Davis (Out): A second opinion revealed Davis (finger) won’t require surgery, and he’ll be re-evaluated in six weeks, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
• Dereck Lively II (Out): Lively successfully underwent surgery on his right foot Sunday.
• Kyrie Irving (Out): Irving (knee) remains out indefinitely and doesn’t have a return timetable, Mavericks reporter Grant Afseth said during an appearance on HoopsHype’s podcast ‘Around the Beat’ on Friday.
• Dante Exum (Out): The Mavericks announced Thursday that Exum will undergo season-ending knee surgery.

Milwaukee Bucks Key Stats & Trends

The Milwaukee Bucks are also navigating a difficult period, reflected in their sub-par record. Ryan Rollins has emerged as a primary offensive threat, leading the team with 16.1 points per game and also pacing them in assists with 5.4 per game. His comprehensive rating of 16.1 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 5.4 APG, 1.5 SPG, 0.4 BPG highlights his importance to this injury-depleted squad. Bobby Portis remains a consistent force inside, grabbing 6.5 rebounds per game. However, the absence of their superstar dramatically alters their offensive strategy and defensive presence, forcing a more committee-based approach that has yet to yield consistent wins.

Injury Report Milwaukee Bucks

• Gary Trent Jr. (Day-to-day): Trent (illness) is probable for Sunday’s game against the Mavericks.
• AJ Green (Day-to-day): Green (illness) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against Dallas.
• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Out): Antetokounmpo said after Friday’s 102-100 loss to the Nuggets that he expects to be sidelined for at least 4-to-6 weeks due to the right calf injury he appeared to suffer during the first quarter, Jamal Collier of ESPN.com reports.
• Kevin Porter Jr. (Out): Doc Rivers said that Porter (oblique) won’t play “any time soon,” and he’s without an official timetable to return, Justin Garcia of Locked On Bucks reports.
• Taurean Prince (Out): The Bucks applied for a Disabled Player Exception for Prince earlier this month, indicating that they anticipate that he’s “substantially more likely than not” to be unable to play through June 15, Eric Nehm of The Athletic reports.

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Best Bet

This matchup presents a battle of attrition, with both teams severely hampered by critical injuries. While the Bucks are at home, the absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo is simply too significant to overlook, neutralizing much of their typical offensive and defensive advantages. Dallas, despite missing key veterans like Davis and Irving, still has the dynamic Flagg and a solid supporting cast trying to prove themselves. Given the widespread absences, offensive fluidity will be a challenge for both sides. We predict a gritty, lower-scoring affair.

Prediction: Dallas Mavericks +1.5 (Spread)

The total points line is set at 219.5. With both teams missing their primary offensive catalysts and several rotational pieces, scoring will be at a premium. Expect inefficient shooting and more deliberate possessions. Therefore, the smart play is on the under.