Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.09.26

Last Updated: Feb 9, 2026 6:03 PM
Monday, 09 Feb 2026 DEN -1.5
Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers

W W W L W
33-21
VS 9:00 PM
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

W L L L W
34-20

Game Winner

Cleveland Cavaliers

Total Points

Over 239.5

Tale of the Tape

CLE Stat Comparison DEN
119.0 PPG 117.0
39.0 RPG 46.0
25.0 APG 25.0
46.7 FG% 44.7
33.3 3P% 32.5

Detailed Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.09.26

A high-stakes cross-conference showdown takes place at Ball Arena as the Cleveland Cavaliers (32-21) visit the Denver Nuggets (34-19). This matchup features two elite contenders grappling with significant injury concerns, making depth and perimeter execution the deciding factors in this late-season clash.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Matchup Preview

Cleveland Cavaliers Key Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have maintained a strong rhythm behind the explosive scoring of Donovan Mitchell, who leads the team with 28.9 PPG and 5.9 APG. Cleveland’s offense benefits from a multi-guard look featuring James Harden and Dennis Schroder, though the loss of Evan Mobley puts immense pressure on Jarrett Allen (8.1 RPG) to anchor the interior defense alone.

  • Points: Donovan Mitchell (28.9)
  • Rebounds: Jarrett Allen (8.1)
  • Assists: Donovan Mitchell (5.9)
  • Rating: Donovan Mitchell (28.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.9 APG, 1.5 SPG, 0.3 BPG)

Injury Report Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Jaylon Tyson (Day-to-day): Tyson is questionable for Monday’s game against the Nuggets due to a left ankle sprain.
  • Dean Wade (Day-to-day): Wade (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Nuggets.
  • Evan Mobley (Out): Mobley (calf) is expected to miss at least one week.
  • Max Strus (Out): Strus (foot) is expected to miss at least four more weeks.

Denver Nuggets Key Stats & Trends

Denver continues to revolve around the historic production of Nikola Jokic, who is averaging a triple-double with 28.9 PPG, 12.2 RPG, and 10.7 APG. However, the Nuggets’ depth is currently decimated. Without Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson, Denver lacks the defensive versatility needed to contain elite scoring guards.

  • Points: Nikola Jokic (28.9)
  • Rebounds: Nikola Jokic (12.2)
  • Assists: Nikola Jokic (10.7)
  • Rating: Nikola Jokic (28.9 PPG, 12.2 RPG, 10.7 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.8 BPG)

Injury Report Denver Nuggets

  • Spencer Jones (Out): Jones (concussion) has been ruled out for Monday’s matchup.
  • Nikola Jokic (Day-to-day): Jokic is probable to play Monday versus the Cavs.
  • Christian Braun (Day-to-day): Braun is listed as probable for Monday’s game.
  • Jamal Murray (Day-to-day): Murray (hip) is questionable for Monday’s matchup.
  • Peyton Watson (Out): Watson is expected to miss at least four weeks with a Grade 2 hamstring strain.
  • Aaron Gordon (Out): Gordon (hamstring) will be re-evaluated in 4-to-6 weeks.
  • Tamar Bates (Out): Bates (foot) will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Best Bet

The Cleveland Cavaliers are the pick to win this contest. While Jokic will likely dominate the paint, Denver’s perimeter defense is severely compromised without Gordon and Watson. Cleveland’s backcourt depth—led by Mitchell and Harden—should exploit these gaps. We also recommend the over on the 239.5 total points line. Both teams are missing their primary defensive anchors (Mobley and Gordon), which should lead to a high-paced, offensive-heavy shootout.

Last 5 Games: CLE

Form:
WWWLW
VS @ Sacramento
W 132-126
PTS Mitchell 35
REB Allen 10
AST Harden 8
VS @ LA
W 124-91
PTS Mitchell 29
REB Allen 11
AST Mitchell 9
VS @ Portland
W 130-111
PTS Allen 40
REB Allen 17
AST Porter Jr. 12
VS @ Phoenix
L 126-113
PTS Hunter 17
REB Allen 7
AST Mitchell 6
VS vs Los Angeles
W 129-99
PTS Mitchell 25
REB Allen 9
AST Tyson 6

Last 5 Games: DEN

Form:
WLLLW
VS @ Chicago
W 136-120
PTS Murray 28
REB Jokic 14
AST Jokic 17
VS @ New York
L 134-127 2OT
PTS Murray 39
REB Jokic 14
AST Jokic 10
VS @ Detroit
L 124-121
PTS Murray 32
REB Jokic 15
AST Murray 8
VS vs Oklahoma City
L 121-111
PTS Watson 29
REB Jokic 7
AST Murray 12
VS vs LA
W 122-109
PTS Jokic 31
REB Jokic 12
AST Murray 9
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.

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