Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction | 01.31.26
Chicago Bulls
Miami Heat
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 31-01-2026
The Kaseya Center in Miami is set to host a compelling regular-season matchup on 31-01-2026 at 8:00 PM, as the Chicago Bulls (23-25) face off against the Miami Heat (26-23). This Eastern Conference clash pits two teams navigating the mid-season grind, with playoff positioning firmly in their sights. The Heat will look to leverage home-court advantage against a Bulls squad severely hampered by injuries.
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Matchup Preview
Chicago Bulls Key Stats & Trends
The Chicago Bulls have been largely reliant on the versatile play of Josh Giddey, who leads the team with 18.6 PPG and 8.8 APG, alongside 8.6 RPG, demonstrating his all-around impact. Nikola Vucevic remains their anchor in the paint, pulling down 9.1 RPG. However, Chicago’s recent performance has been inconsistent, reflecting their struggle to maintain offensive flow and defensive intensity, especially when key players are sidelined. Their depth will be tested significantly in this contest.
Injury Report Chicago Bulls
The Bulls enter this game in dire straits regarding player availability. Josh Giddey (hamstring), Nikola Vucevic (rest), and Coby White (calf) are all questionable, representing a potential loss of their primary playmaker, leading rebounder, and a crucial scoring guard. Jalen Smith (calf) and Emanuel Miller (migraine) are also questionable. Furthermore, Tre Jones (hamstring), Zach Collins (toe), and Noa Essengue (shoulder surgery) are confirmed out, with Essengue missing the remainder of the season. This extensive injury list severely compromises Chicago’s roster depth and offensive firepower.
Miami Heat Key Stats & Trends
The Miami Heat, despite their own injury woes, possess a strong defensive identity and the two-way prowess of Bam Adebayo, who anchors their efforts with 18.0 PPG and 9.8 RPG. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has stepped up as a significant contributor, leading the team with 4.7 APG. The Heat’s gritty style of play often translates into close contests, and they excel at limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, reflecting their disciplined system under coach Erik Spoelstra.
Injury Report Miami Heat
Miami also faces significant absences. Norman Powell (personal reasons), Davion Mitchell (shoulder), and Tyler Herro (ribs) are all out for Saturday’s game. Additionally, Terry Rozier has been placed on immediate leave from the team. While impactful, the Heat’s core of Adebayo, supported by emerging talents, provides more stability than the depleted Bulls.
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction & Best Bet
Considering the catastrophic injury report for the Chicago Bulls, this matchup leans heavily in favor of the Miami Heat. Without potentially Josh Giddey, Nikola Vucevic, and Coby White, the Bulls lose their primary offensive initiators and interior presence, making it incredibly challenging to compete on both ends. Bam Adebayo should dominate the paint against a weakened Bulls frontcourt, while the Heat’s disciplined defense will feast on Chicago’s lack of consistent scoring options. Even with their own injuries, Miami’s deeper and more stable core should prevail comfortably.
Prediction: Miami Heat -5.5 (Spread)
Given the significant offensive absences for the Bulls, the scoring might seem stifled. However, the Bulls’ defense will also be severely compromised without Vucevic and potentially Giddey. This could lead to easier scoring opportunities for the Heat, pushing the total points. Miami’s offensive flow, combined with a potentially looser defensive effort from a shorthanded Bulls, suggests a higher-scoring affair than anticipated.
Over/Under Pick: over 235.5
Last 5 Games: CHI
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | L 116-113 | Dosunmu 23 | Huerter 10 | White 8 |
| @ Indiana | L 113-110 | Vucevic 25 | Smith 11 | Giddey 7 |
| vs Los Angeles | L 129-118 | White 23 | Vucevic 11 | Giddey 7 |
| vs Boston | W 114-111 | White 22 | Smith 9 | Giddey 10 |
| @ Minnesota | W 120-115 | White 22 | Vucevic 8 | Jones 7 |
Last 5 Games: MIA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 116-113 | Powell 21 | Adebayo 12 | Jaquez Jr. 6 |
| vs Orlando | L 133-124 | Fontecchio 23 | Adebayo 12 | Adebayo 7 |
| @ Phoenix | W 111-102 | Adebayo 22 | Powell 10 | Jaquez Jr. 6 |
| @ Utah | W 147-116 | Adebayo 26 | Adebayo 15 | Wiggins 6 |
| @ Portland | L 127-110 | Adebayo 32 | Adebayo 10 | Larsson 6 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.