Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction | 01.28.26
Charlotte Hornets
Memphis Grizzlies
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 28-01-2026
The FedExForum in Memphis is set to host a compelling regular-season matchup on January 28, 2026, at 8:00 PM, as the Charlotte Hornets (19-28) face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (18-26). Both teams, battling for playoff positioning, bring distinct strengths and significant injury challenges into this pivotal contest.
Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies Matchup Preview
Charlotte Hornets Key Stats & Trends
The Charlotte Hornets, despite their sub-.500 record, possess a dynamic offensive core. Brandon Miller has emerged as a primary scoring threat, averaging an impressive 20.4 points per game. Complementing him is the orchestrator, LaMelo Ball, who leads the team with 7.6 assists per game and boasts a comprehensive stat line of 19.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 7.6 APG, 1.2 SPG, and 0.2 BPG. His ability to create for himself and others will be crucial. On the glass, Moussa Diabate provides a strong presence, pulling down 8.3 rebounds per game. The Hornets’ recent performance has been inconsistent, but their young talent offers high-ceiling potential.
Injury Report Charlotte Hornets
- KJ Simpson (Out): Simpson (hip) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the 76ers.
- Mason Plumlee (Out): Plumlee underwent surgery to address his right groin injury and will be reevaluated in six weeks, the Hornets announced.
Memphis Grizzlies Key Stats & Trends
The Memphis Grizzlies enter this game with a slightly worse record, largely hampered by a litany of injuries. Their defensive anchor and leading scorer, Jaren Jackson Jr., is central to their strategy, averaging 18.9 points per game along with 5.7 RPG, 1.9 APG, 0.9 SPG, and 1.5 BPG. His two-way impact is undeniable. Santi Aldama contributes significantly on the boards with 6.7 rebounds per game, while Cam Spencer has stepped up in playmaking, dishing out 5.7 assists per game. The Grizzlies’ resilience has been tested, relying heavily on their available roster to maintain competitiveness.
Injury Report Memphis Grizzlies
- Ty Jerome (Out): Grizzlies head coach Tuomas Iisalo said Friday that Jerome (calf) is likely to make his season debut within 1-to-2 weeks, Jonah Dylan of The Memphis Commercial Appeal reports.
- Ja Morant (Out): Morant (elbow) will be reevaluated in approximately three weeks, the Grizzlies announced Saturday.
- Scotty Pippen Jr. (Out): The Grizzlies announced Wednesday that Pippen is progressing well in his recovery from left toe surgery and is expected to return in 4-6 weeks.
- Zach Edey (Out): The Grizzlies announced Wednesday that Edey continues to recover from a stress reaction in his left ankle and will maintain his current plan of offloading and rehabilitation before being re-evaluated in six weeks.
- Brandon Clarke (Out): Clarke is progressing well from his Grade 2 right calf strain and is expected to return in four to six weeks, the Grizzlies announced Wednesday.
Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Best Bet
Given the extensive injury list for the Memphis Grizzlies, particularly the absence of Ja Morant and the significant depth issues it creates, the Charlotte Hornets appear poised to capitalize. LaMelo Ball’s playmaking and Brandon Miller’s scoring punch will likely overwhelm a depleted Grizzlies backcourt and frontcourt rotation. While Jaren Jackson Jr. remains a formidable presence, the collective talent and healthier roster of the Hornets give them a distinct advantage. Expect a high-scoring affair as both teams have struggled defensively at times.
Prediction: Charlotte Hornets -1.5 (Spread)
With both teams showcasing offensive talent and struggling to consistently contain opponents, especially considering the Grizzlies’ defensive gaps due to injuries, the total points line of 231.5 seems attainable. LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller are capable of pushing the pace and lighting up the scoreboard, leading to a higher-scoring contest.
Total Points: over 231.5
Last 5 Games: CHA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 130-93 | Miller 30 | Kalkbrenner 9 | Ball 8 |
| vs Washington | W 119-115 | Miller 21 | Diabate 14 | Ball 11 |
| @ Orlando | W 124-97 | Miller 20 | Knueppel 10 | Ball 7 |
| vs Cleveland | L 94-87 | Miller 24 | Knueppel 11 | Ball 7 |
| @ Denver | W 110-87 | Miller 23 | Salaun 11 | Ball 6 |
Last 5 Games: MEM
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Houston | L 108-99 | Aldama 17 | Williams Jr. 8 | Spencer 13 |
| vs New Orleans | L 133-127 | Jackson Jr. 26 | Jackson Jr. 12 | Spencer 11 |
| vs Atlanta | L 124-122 | Morant 23 | Landale 11 | Morant 12 |
| vs Orlando * | W 126-109 | Morant 24 | Landale 8 | Morant 13 |
| vs Orlando * | L 118-111 | Jackson Jr. 30 | Konchar 8 | Spencer 11 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.