Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.26.26
Charlotte Hornets
Indiana Pacers
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
B. Miller
P. Siakam
Detailed Analysis
Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.26.26
On February 26, 2026, the Gainbridge Fieldhouse hosts a pivotal Eastern Conference matchup between the Charlotte Hornets (28-31) and the Indiana Pacers (15-44). While Charlotte is fighting to solidify a play-in spot, Indiana is struggling through a season defined by a devastating injury crisis. This 7:00 PM tip-off represents a significant opportunity for the Hornets to capitalize on a depleted Pacers rotation.
Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers Matchup Preview
Charlotte Hornets Key Stats & Trends
The Hornets have found a rhythm behind the stellar play of Brandon Miller, who leads the team with 20.6 PPG. Charlotte’s offense thrives on the playmaking of LaMelo Ball, who averages 19.4 PPG and 7.3 APG. On the glass, Moussa Diabate has been a revelation, securing 8.6 RPG and providing much-needed interior toughness. Charlotte’s ability to push the pace and exploit mismatches on the perimeter makes them a dangerous offensive unit against short-handed defenses.
Injury Report Charlotte Hornets
- Liam McNeeley (Out): McNeeley (ankle) is out for Thursday’s game in Indiana.
Indiana Pacers Key Stats & Trends
The Pacers are currently a shell of their former selves. While Pascal Siakam has been productive with 23.9 PPG and 6.8 RPG, his doubtful status for this contest leaves a massive void. Andrew Nembhard has stepped up as a facilitator (7.4 APG), but the lack of depth is staggering. Indiana’s defensive rating has plummeted without Ivica Zubac protecting the rim, and their transition defense is vulnerable without Aaron Nesmith.
Injury Report Indiana Pacers
- Obi Toppin (Out): Toppin (foot) is listed as questionable.
- Andrew Nembhard (Day-to-day): Nembhard (back) is questionable.
- Pascal Siakam (Day-to-day): Siakam (wrist) is listed as doubtful.
- Aaron Nesmith (Out): Nesmith (ankle) will be sidelined for at least one week.
- Ivica Zubac (Out): Zubac (ankle) is expected to be out for a while.
- Johnny Furphy (Out): Furphy (torn ACL) will miss the remainder of the season.
- Tyrese Haliburton (Out): Haliburton continues to recover from right Achilles surgery.
Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Best Bet
The disparity in available talent is too wide to ignore. With Indiana missing nearly its entire starting lineup and key bench pieces, Charlotte’s high-octane offense, led by Ball and Miller, should dominate from the opening tip. We predict the winner will be the Charlotte Hornets -12.5 (Spread). Furthermore, despite Indiana’s injuries, Charlotte’s fast-break style and Indiana’s lack of interior rim protection suggest a high-scoring affair. We are taking the over on the 230.5 total points line.
Last 5 Games: CHA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 131-99 | Miller 23 | Bridges 7 | Ball 7 |
| @ Washington | W 129-112 | Ball 37 | Kalkbrenner 9 | Ball 7 |
| vs Cleveland | L 118-113 | Knueppel 33 | Kalkbrenner 13 | James 7 |
| vs Houston | L 105-101 | Williams 20 | Williams 9 | Miller 7 |
| vs Atlanta | W 110-107 | Miller 31 | Hall 10 | Ball 6 |
Last 5 Games: IND
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | L 135-114 | Potter 23 | Brown 10 | Walker 6 |
| vs Dallas | L 134-130 | Siakam 30 | Walker 9 | Nembhard 11 |
| @ Washington | L 131-118 | Huff 22 | Walker 12 | Jones 11 |
| @ Washington | L 112-105 | Walker 19 | Walker 14 | Walker 7 |
| @ Brooklyn | W 115-110 | Walker 23 | Potter 12 | Jones 6 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.