Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.19.26

Last Updated: Feb 18, 2026 10:37 AM
Thursday, 19 Feb 2026 BOS -2.5
Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

W L W W W
35-19
VS 10:00 PM
Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

L W L W L
29-26

Game Spread

BOS -2.5

Total Points

Over 217.5

Tale of the Tape

BOS Stat Comparison GS
115.3 PPG 115.5
45.4 RPG 42.5
23.9 APG 28.9
46.7 FG% 46.1
36.3 3P% 36.2

Key Matchup: Top Scorers

VS
Jaylen Brown

J. Brown

29.3 PPG
Brandin Podziemski

B. Podziemski

12.0 PPG

Detailed Analysis

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.19.26

The NBA spotlight shines on the Chase Center this Thursday, February 19, 2026, as the Boston Celtics (35-19) take on the Golden State Warriors (29-26). This late-season cross-conference matchup carries significant playoff seeding implications. While Boston looks to maintain its dominance in the East, the Warriors are fighting to stay afloat amidst a devastating wave of injuries to their core rotation.

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Matchup Preview

Boston Celtics Key Stats & Trends

The Celtics have proven their resilience, maintaining an elite record despite missing their franchise cornerstone. Jaylen Brown has ascended to a new level of superstardom, leading the team with a massive 29.3 PPG and a stellar 29.3 player rating. The interior presence of Neemias Queta (8.3 RPG) has stabilized the glass, while Derrick White remains the ultimate floor general, averaging 5.6 APG. Boston’s ability to generate high-quality looks from the perimeter remains their greatest offensive weapon.

Injury Report Boston Celtics

  • Jayson Tatum (Out): Tatum (Achilles) said that he was “feeling good” after taking part in practice with the G League’s Maine Celtics on Tuesday, but he remained non-committal about returning to action during the 2025-26 season.

Golden State Warriors Key Stats & Trends

Golden State is currently a “next man up” squad. With several stars sidelined, Brandin Podziemski has stepped into a larger role, averaging 12.0 PPG and 4.6 RPG. The defensive and playmaking burden rests heavily on Draymond Green, who leads the team in rebounds (5.7 RPG) and assists (5.2 APG). However, the lack of consistent scoring depth has seen the Warriors struggle to close out games against elite defensive units like Boston.

Injury Report Golden State Warriors

  • Stephen Curry (Out): Head coach Steve Kerr said Curry (knee) will participate in Wednesday’s scrimmage before the team determines his status.
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Out): Porzingis (Achilles) practiced Tuesday; status pending after Wednesday’s scrimmage.
  • Will Richard (Out): Richard (knee) won’t play.
  • L.J. Cryer (Out): Cryer (hamstring) is out.
  • Jimmy Butler III (Out): Butler underwent successful surgery Monday to repair a torn right anterior cruciate ligament.
  • Seth Curry (Out): Curry (back) will be re-evaluated in two weeks.

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Best Bet

The disparity in available talent is too significant to ignore. Even without Tatum, Boston’s core of Brown and White is far more cohesive than a depleted Warriors roster missing Jimmy Butler and potentially Curry. Expect Jaylen Brown to exploit the Warriors’ weakened perimeter defense. We are backing the Boston Celtics -2.5 (Spread). Furthermore, despite the injuries, the Celtics’ offensive efficiency combined with Golden State’s defensive struggles suggests the total will go over 217.5 points.

Last 5 Games: BOS

Form:
WLWWW
VS vs Chicago
W 124-105
PTS Pritchard 26
REB Vucevic 11
AST White 9
VS vs New York
L 111-89
PTS Brown 26
REB Scheierman 13
AST Pritchard 7
VS vs Miami
W 98-96
PTS Brown 29
REB Vucevic 12
AST White 5
VS @ Houston
W 114-93
PTS White 28
REB Queta 19
AST White 8
VS @ Dallas
W 110-100
PTS Brown 33
REB Brown 11
AST White 8

Last 5 Games: GS

Form:
LWLWL
VS vs San Antonio
L 126-113
PTS Green 17
REB Green 12
AST Green 8
VS vs Memphis
W 114-113
PTS Spencer 17
REB Horford 9
AST Spencer 7
VS @ Los Angeles
L 105-99
PTS Moody 25
REB Santos 8
AST Spencer 7
VS @ Phoenix
W 101-97
PTS Spencer 20
REB Payton II 8
AST Santos 7
VS vs Philadelphia
L 113-94
PTS Spencer 13
REB Green 7
AST Melton 6
Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.

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