Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.03.26
Boston Celtics
Dallas Mavericks
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
J. Brown
C. Flagg
Detailed Analysis
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.03.26
Get ready for a compelling regular-season clash as the Boston Celtics (31-18) travel to face the Dallas Mavericks (19-30) on February 3rd, 2026, at 8:00 PM EST from the American Airlines Center in Dallas. This matchup presents a stark contrast in team health and current trajectory, setting the stage for an intriguing contest.
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Matchup Preview
Boston Celtics Key Stats & Trends
The Boston Celtics enter this game with a strong 31-18 record, showcasing their consistent performance throughout the season. Despite the absence of their superstar, Boston’s roster depth has been critical. Jaylen Brown has elevated his game, leading the team with an impressive 29.4 points per game and a comprehensive rating of 29.4 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 4.8 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.4 BPG. His offensive explosion will be vital. Inside, Neemias Queta has been a force on the boards, averaging 8.1 rebounds, providing crucial interior presence. Veteran guard Derrick White orchestrates the offense, dishing out 5.4 assists per contest, ensuring efficient ball movement.
Injury Report Boston Celtics
- Jayson Tatum (Out): The Celtics have not ruled Tatum (Achilles) out for the 2025-26 season, ESPN’s Shams Charania reported on the Pat McAfee Show on Thursday.
Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends
The Dallas Mavericks, currently at 19-30, have endured a challenging season, significantly hampered by injuries to key personnel. Rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has emerged as a beacon of hope, leading the team in both scoring and rebounding with 19.8 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. His all-around impact is reflected in his rating of 19.8 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 4.1 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.8 BPG. Point guard Ryan Nembhard is tasked with playmaking duties, averaging 4.9 assists, trying to keep the offense flowing amidst the turmoil.
Injury Report Dallas Mavericks
- Brandon Williams (Day-to-day): Williams (lower leg) is questionable for Tuesday’s game against the Celtics.
- P.J. Washington (Out): Washington (head) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Celtics.
- Anthony Davis (Out): A second opinion revealed Davis (finger) won’t require surgery, and he’ll be re-evaluated in six weeks, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
- Dereck Lively II (Out): Lively successfully underwent surgery on his right foot Sunday.
- Kyrie Irving (Out): Irving (knee) remains out indefinitely and doesn’t have a return timetable, Mavericks reporter Grant Afseth said during an appearance on HoopsHype’s podcast ‘Around the Beat’ on Friday.
- Dante Exum (Out): The Mavericks announced Thursday that Exum will undergo season-ending knee surgery.
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Best Bet
The injury report paints a grim picture for the Dallas Mavericks, who are without multiple starters and key rotation players including Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, and Dante Exum. While the Celtics are missing Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown is poised to carry a heavy offensive load, supported by White and Queta. Despite the significant talent disparity, the Mavericks, playing at home, might find a way to keep this game closer than anticipated. Cooper Flagg’s individual brilliance and the collective effort of the remaining players could allow them to cover a generous spread. Therefore, our prediction for this contest is Dallas Mavericks +7.5 (Spread).
Considering the extensive list of offensive firepower missing for Dallas, particularly Davis, Irving, and Washington, their scoring will be severely limited. Even without Tatum, Boston’s defense remains formidable. The total points line of 222.5 is likely too high given the circumstances. We anticipate a lower-scoring affair. Our Over/Under pick is under.
Last 5 Games: BOS
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee | W 107-79 | Brown 30 | Brown 13 | White 8 |
| vs Sacramento | W 112-93 | Pritchard 29 | Queta 15 | White 9 |
| vs Atlanta | L 117-106 | Brown 21 | Brown 7 | Garza 6 |
| vs Portland | W 102-94 | Pritchard 23 | Brown 8 | Queta 6 |
| @ Chicago | L 114-111 | Brown 33 | Brown 8 | White 7 |
Last 5 Games: DAL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Houston | L 111-107 | Flagg 34 | Flagg 12 | Flagg 5 |
| vs Charlotte | L 123-121 | Flagg 49 | Martin 11 | Williams 6 |
| vs Minnesota | L 118-105 | Washington 21 | Powell 9 | Martin 5 |
| vs Los Angeles | L 116-110 | Christie 24 | Marshall 11 | Flagg 6 |
| vs Golden State | W 123-115 | Marshall 30 | Powell 12 | Marshall 9 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.