Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros MLB Predictions – 31.05.26

Who will win today? Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros MLB Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers bounce back to take this series finale because J. Misiorowski brings lights out stuff that will neutralize a Houston Astros lineup prone to fading against high-velocity arms. While Houston put up a crooked number yesterday, the metrics suggest they are in for a regression against a starter sporting a dominant 1.83 ERA.

The Starter Showdown: J. Misiorowski vs T. Imai

J. Misiorowski is a nightmare for hitters, boasting a 1.83 ERA and a Whiff% that keeps him out of trouble even when his command wavers. He is currently pitching well above league average in Expected ERA (xERA), suggesting his success is no fluke of luck.

On the bump for Houston, T. Imai has been getting shelled lately, evidenced by a bloated 6.17 ERA and a Hard-Hit Rate that sits in the bottom percentile of the league. Imai struggles to navigate the order a third time, which usually leads to early traffic on the bases and a quick hook from the manager.

Offensive Trends & Lineup Depth

The Brewers offense relies on small ball and elite baserunning to manufacture runs, which should exploit Imai’s high 1.55 WHIP. Despite the 9-2 loss yesterday, Milwaukee’s .255 Team AVG remains steady and disciplined at the plate.

Houston’s bats often go quiet after a high-scoring outburst, and their 27-33 record reflects a lack of consistency in high-leverage moments. Travel fatigue and a lack of depth in the bottom of the order make them vulnerable against a power pitcher like Misiorowski.

When we hit the danger zone in the 7th through 9th innings, Milwaukee has the superior chess pieces in the pen. The Brewers relief corps ranks top-five in Win Probability Added (WPA), while the Astros bridge to the closer has been shaky at best this season.

Looking for more action? See our More MLB Picks.

Our Final Verdict

The mismatch on the mound is too significant to ignore, as J. Misiorowski should dominate a Houston squad that struggles with high-heat consistency. With T. Imai likely to exit early after giving up hard contact, the Brewers will coast behind their elite bullpen to secure the victory.

Pick to Win: Milwaukee Brewers

Total Runs (Over/Under): under (Line: 7.5)