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Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Predictions – 07.06.26

Last Updated: Jun 7, 2026 1:40 AM
Sunday, 07 Jun 2026 STL -156
Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds

31-32
R. Lowder
VS 2:15 PM
St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals

34-28
M. McGreevy

Match Winner

St. Louis Cardinals

Total Runs

Over 9.5

Tale of the Tape

Cincinnati Reds CIN
Stat Comparison
STL St. Louis Cardinals
4.32 R/G 4.4
7.71 H/G 8.16
.230 BA .243
4.83 ERA 4.11

Key Matchup: Starting Pitchers

VS
R. Lowder

R. Lowder

5.40 ERA
3-3
M. McGreevy

M. McGreevy

2.98 ERA
3-5

Detailed Analysis

Who will win today? Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals will secure the win today because M. McGreevy is showing far more poise on the bump than R. Lowder, who is currently struggling to find his rhythm. The Redbirds have that winning swagger back in the dugout after a gritty one-run victory, while the visitors look like a squad that is fading under the Arch.

The Starter Showdown: R. Lowder vs M. McGreevy

M. McGreevy has been throwing absolute seeds lately, maintaining a sharp 2.98 ERA by painting the corners and keeping hitters off-balance. He doesn’t get rattled when the porch gets crowded, showing the kind of moxie that wins ballgames in the heat of a rubber match.

Meanwhile, R. Lowder and his 5.40 ERA are in a dangerous spot against a lineup that smells blood in the water. If he can’t locate his secondary stuff early, the Cardinals are going to start shelling him before the middle innings even arrive.

Offensive Trends & Lineup Depth

The St. Louis Cardinals are playing excellent small ball right now, focusing on moving runners and executing in high-leverage situations. Their veteran presence in the clubhouse is keeping them loose, even when the pressure mounts late in the game.

The Cincinnati Reds showed some life in their 5-6 loss, but travel fatigue seems to be catching up with their young core. It is tough to maintain that “eye test” energy when you are chasing runs against a starter who has been lights out over his last few turns.

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Our Final Verdict

The St. Louis Cardinals have the superior arm on the mound and the momentum of a team that knows how to close out a series at home. Expect the bats to stay hot and push this game over the total as Lowder struggles with his command early on.

Pick to Win: St. Louis Cardinals

Total Runs (Over/Under): over (Line: 9)

Last 5 Games: CIN

Form:
LLLWL
VS @STL
L 5-6
VS @STL
L 3-10
VS vs KC
L 2-5
VS vs KC
W 4-3
VS vs KC
L 2-9

Last 5 Games: STL

Form:
WWWLL
VS vs CIN
W 6-5
VS vs CIN
W 10-3
VS vs TEX
W 5-3
VS vs TEX
L 4-7
VS vs TEX
L 1-2

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.

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