LAA @ MIN
ATH @ CHW
NYY @ WSH
ARI @ LAD

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Predictions – 11.07.26

Last Updated: Jul 11, 2026 1:37 PM
Saturday, 11 Jul 2026 LAD -287
Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks

47-47
B. Pfaadt
VS 9:10 PM
Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers

61-34
Y. Yamamoto

Match Winner

Los Angeles Dodgers

Total Runs

Over 9

Tale of the Tape

Arizona Diamondbacks ARI
Stat Comparison
LAD Los Angeles Dodgers
4.28 R/G 5.27
7.88 H/G 8.89
.237 BA .264
4.25 ERA 3.50

Key Matchup: Starting Pitchers

VS
B. Pfaadt

B. Pfaadt

4.84 ERA
2-1
Y. Yamamoto

Y. Yamamoto

2.49 ERA
9-5

Detailed Analysis

Who will win today? Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers will secure a victory today because Yoshinobu Yamamoto provides a massive analytical advantage over Brandon Pfaadt following a rare blowout loss for the home team. Expect the Los Angeles Dodgers to bounce back immediately after getting shelled in their previous outing.

The Starter Showdown: B. Pfaadt vs Y. Yamamoto

Brandon Pfaadt has been fading recently, sporting a 4.84 ERA and a barrel rate that suggests he is vulnerable to the long ball. He struggles to keep the ball in the park at Dodger Stadium, where the dimensions punish right-handers who can’t find the bottom of the zone.

Conversely, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been lights out with a 2.49 ERA and a WHIP that keeps traffic off the basepaths. His splitter is a nightmare for an Arizona Diamondbacks lineup that often struggles against elite secondary offerings in high-leverage spots.

Offensive Trends & Lineup Depth

While the Arizona Diamondbacks put up nine runs yesterday, teams frequently experience a scoring hangover after a blowout win. The Los Angeles Dodgers offense, led by a 61-34 record, rarely stays quiet for two consecutive games at home.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are currently 47-47 and lack the bullpen depth to navigate a rubber match if Brandon Pfaadt gets chased early. The Los Angeles Dodgers will likely abandon small ball in favor of hunting high exit velocity against a struggling starter.

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Our Final Verdict

The pitching mismatch is the deciding factor here, as Yoshinobu Yamamoto is significantly more efficient than Brandon Pfaadt. With the Los Angeles Dodgers motivated to erase yesterday’s loss, their superior lineup depth will overwhelm the Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff.

Pick to Win: Los Angeles Dodgers

Total Runs (Over/Under): over (Line: 9)

Last 5 Games: ARI

Form:
WWLLW
VS @LAD
W 9-3
VS @SD
W 3-1
VS @SD
L 4-10
VS @SD
L 1-4
VS @SD
W 8-0

Last 5 Games: LAD

Form:
LWLWL
VS vs ARI
L 3-9
VS vs COL
W 4-3
VS vs COL
L 3-4
VS vs COL
W 8-7
VS vs SD
L 2-5

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.

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