Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.20.26
Denver Nuggets
Portland Trail Blazers
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
N. Jokic
D. Avdija
Detailed Analysis
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.20.26
As the post-All-Star break intensity ramps up, the Denver Nuggets (35-21) travel to the Moda Center on February 20, 2026, to face the Portland Trail Blazers (27-29). This Western Conference showdown features a Denver squad eyeing a top seed against a resilient Portland team fighting for Play-In positioning. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM.
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Matchup Preview
Denver Nuggets Key Stats & Trends
The Nuggets continue to be defined by the historic production of Nikola Jokic, who leads the team in every major statistical category. Averaging a triple-double with 28.7 PPG, 12.3 RPG, and 10.7 APG, Jokic remains the most difficult cover in the league. Denver’s offense thrives on high-percentage looks, but their depth is currently being tested. The absence of key frontcourt defenders forces a heavier reliance on Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson to provide consistent spacing and secondary scoring.
Injury Report Denver Nuggets
- Peyton Watson (Out): Watson is expected to miss at least four weeks with his Grade 2 right hamstring strain.
- Aaron Gordon (Out): Gordon (hamstring) will be re-evaluated in 4-to-6 weeks.
- Tamar Bates (Out): The Nuggets announced Monday that Bates (foot) will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.
Portland Trail Blazers Key Stats & Trends
Portland has found a new focal point in Deni Avdija, whose versatile playmaking (25.2 PPG, 6.6 APG) has kept the Blazers competitive. Defensively, the emergence of Donovan Clingan as a premier rim protector (11.5 RPG) has bolstered their interior presence. However, the Blazers are severely hampered by injuries to their backcourt, lacking the explosive perimeter shooting typically provided by their veteran stars.
Injury Report Portland Trail Blazers
- Kris Murray (Out): Murray (back) is listed as questionable for Friday’s game against the Nuggets.
- Matisse Thybulle (Out): Thybulle (knee) is questionable for Friday’s game against the Nuggets.
- Shaedon Sharpe (Out): Sharpe won’t play due to a strained left calf.
- Damian Lillard (Out): Lillard (Achilles) is sidelined despite his recent 3-Point Contest victory.
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction & Best Bet
While Denver is missing the defensive versatility of Gordon, Nikola Jokic holds a significant tactical advantage over Portland’s young frontcourt. The Blazers lack the necessary firepower to match Denver’s execution without Lillard and Sharpe. Expect a methodical pace dominated by Jokic’s facilitation.
Prediction: Denver Nuggets -2.5 (Spread). We also lean toward the under 239.5, as both teams are missing primary scoring options and defensive anchors, likely leading to a more stagnant, half-court oriented contest.
Last 5 Games: DEN
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ LA | L 115-114 | Jokic 22 | Jokic 17 | Murray 8 |
| vs Memphis | W 122-116 | Jokic 26 | Jokic 15 | Jokic 11 |
| vs Cleveland | L 119-117 | Jokic 22 | Jokic 14 | Jokic 11 |
| @ Chicago | W 136-120 | Murray 28 | Jokic 14 | Jokic 17 |
| @ New York | L 134-127 2OT | Murray 39 | Jokic 14 | Jokic 10 |
Last 5 Games: POR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Utah | W 135-119 | Holiday 31 | Clingan 18 | Holiday 7 |
| @ Minnesota | L 133-109 | Holiday 23 | Clingan 9 | Wesley 6 |
| vs Philadelphia | W 135-118 | Camara 30 | Avdija 10 | Avdija 8 |
| vs Memphis | W 122-115 | Grant 29 | Clingan 19 | Love 8 |
| vs Memphis | W 135-115 | Grant 23 | Clingan 17 | Henderson 9 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.