Prediction Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers 05.28.25

Get ready for a tight one, folks! The Toronto Blue Jays (26-27) and the Texas Rangers (26-29) square off at Globe Life Field on May 28th, 8:05 PM. Both teams are hovering around .500, making this a crucial matchup in the AL Wild Card race. It’s a battle of near-equals, with both clubs struggling to find consistent offense.

The Jays are a bit of a mixed bag. Their .246 batting average (16th in the league) isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire, and their 3.91 runs per game shows a need for more consistent production. Their pitching, with a 4.12 ERA, needs to be sharper to support the offense. They’re averaging 8.23 hits per game, which suggests they’re getting on base, but not driving in runs.

Texas is even more offensively challenged, boasting a dismal .222 batting average (28th in the league) and a meager 3.33 runs per game. However, their pitching staff has been a bright spot, sporting a solid 3.31 ERA. Their bullpen has also been reliable, racking up 15 saves. Their 7.18 hits per game reflects their struggles at the plate.

This is where things get interesting. The Jays will send out E. Lauer (1-1, ERA 3.31), while the Rangers counter with T. Mahle (5-2, ERA 1.80). Mahle’s ERA is significantly better, suggesting a clear advantage for the Rangers on the mound. Lauer will need to be on top of his game to keep the Jays in this one. Mahle’s dominance could stifle the Jays’ already struggling offense.

Considering the pitching matchup and the offensive struggles of both teams, I’m predicting a low-scoring affair. The Texas Rangers will take this one at home, in a close game with a predicted total of under 7 runs. Mahle’s strong performance will be the deciding factor.