Prediction Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays 05.28.25

Get ready for a cracker of a game between the Minnesota Twins (30-24) and the Tampa Bay Rays (27-27), set for 1:10 PM on May 28th, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa. Both teams are hovering around .500, making this a crucial matchup in the AL.

The Twins are hitting a decent .238 (20th in the league), but their offense is a bit anemic, averaging only 3.93 runs per game. Their pitching staff, however, is a bright spot, boasting a solid 3.28 ERA. They’re getting about 7.74 hits a game, indicating a need for more timely hitting.

The Rays, known for their pitching prowess, have a slightly higher ERA at 3.66, but their offense is ticking along at 4.06 runs per game, a bit better than the Twins. Their batting average of .245 (18th) isn’t setting the world on fire, but they’re getting more hits per game (8.04). Their bullpen has racked up 14 saves, showing some late-game reliability.

This is a fascinating pitching duel. For the Twins, we have Pablo López (4-2, 2.31 ERA), a true ace who’s been lights-out this season. The Rays counter with Drew Rasmussen (3-4, 2.60 ERA), who’s also been effective, but maybe a touch less consistent. While Rasmussen is a solid pitcher, López’s lower ERA gives the Twins a slight edge on the mound.

Despite the Rays’ slightly better offensive numbers, I’m leaning towards the away team, the Minnesota Twins, winning this one. López on the mound gives them a significant advantage. Considering both teams’ pitching and somewhat underwhelming offenses, I’m also predicting an under 8.5 total runs scored. It’s likely to be a low-scoring, tight game decided by strong pitching and timely hitting.