Prediction Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals 05.28.25

Get ready for a tight one, folks! The Cincinnati Reds (27-28) are heading to Kauffman Stadium on May 28th, 2025, at 7:40 PM to take on the Kansas City Royals (29-26). Both teams are hovering around .500, making this a crucial matchup in the early part of the season. It’s going to be a battle of attrition, that’s for sure.

The Reds are a bit of a mixed bag. Their batting average of .247 (14th in the league) isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire, and their 4.64 runs per game shows a need for more consistent offense. Their pitching, while not terrible at 3.82 ERA, needs to be more reliable if they want to consistently win games. Their 8.35 hits per game suggests they get on base decently, but they’re leaving runners stranded too often.

The Royals, on the other hand, boast a stingier pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA. Their offense is similar to the Reds, averaging 8.24 hits and 3.33 runs per game, showing a similar need for more timely hitting. Their bullpen’s 17 saves indicate some late-game reliability, which could be a significant factor in a close contest. A slightly lower batting average of .246 (15th in the league) doesn’t tell the whole story though; they are more efficient in scoring runs.

This is where things get interesting. The Reds send out H. Greene (4-2, ERA 2.54), a solid pitcher who’s been consistently good. However, he’s facing N. Cameron (1-1, ERA 0.93) for the Royals, who’s been absolutely dominant so far. Cameron’s microscopic ERA is a huge red flag (pun intended) for the Reds’ offense. The edge clearly goes to Cameron and the Royals’ pitching staff in this matchup.

Prediction: Kansas City Royals. With Cameron on the mound and the Royals’ slightly better pitching overall, I’m leaning towards a Royals victory. Given the pitching matchup and the offensive struggles of both teams, I’m also predicting an under on the total runs scored (7.5).