Prediction Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers 05.28.25

Alright folks, we’ve got a tight one brewing in Milwaukee on May 28th, 1:10 PM CT as the Boston Red Sox (27-29) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (27-28) at American Family Field. Both teams are scrapping for a playoff spot, making this a crucial matchup.

The Sox are hitting a respectable .254 (8th in the league), but their 4.8 runs/game is a bit of a concern. They’re putting the ball in play (8.8 hits/game), but not driving in enough runs. Their pitching staff, with an ERA of 4.01, needs to be sharper to consistently win games.

Milwaukee’s offense is struggling a bit, batting just .232 (23rd in the league), and averaging only 4.27 runs/game and 7.69 hits/game. However, their pitching staff, with an ERA of 4.07, is fairly comparable to Boston’s. Their bullpen, boasting 13 saves, gives them a solid late-game advantage.

This is where things get interesting. We’ve got Brayan Bello (2-1, ERA 4.08) on the mound for Boston against Freddy Peralta (5-3, ERA 2.55) for the Brewers. Peralta’s significantly lower ERA gives Milwaukee a clear edge on paper. Bello needs to bring his A-game to keep the Sox in this one. Peralta’s been a workhorse this season, and his command will be key against a Red Sox lineup that can get hot in a hurry.

I’m leaning towards the home team, the Milwaukee Brewers, to take this one. Peralta’s dominance on the mound, coupled with the Red Sox’s offensive inconsistencies, gives the Brewers a slight advantage. Considering the pitching matchup and the overall offensive struggles of both teams, I’m predicting an under on the 7.5 total runs line. A close, low-scoring affair is likely.