Prediction Athletics vs Houston Astros 05.28.25

Get ready for a clash of AL West rivals as the Oakland Athletics (23-31) take on the Houston Astros (28-25) at 2:10 PM on May 28th, 2025, in Daikin Park, Houston. This matchup pits two teams with contrasting fortunes this season, with the Astros looking to solidify their playoff push and the A’s fighting to avoid a complete collapse.

The A’s are struggling across the board. Their .256 batting average puts them mid-pack, but their 4.28 runs per game is a real concern. Their pitching staff, with a bloated 5.29 ERA, is simply getting shelled. They’re averaging 8.83 hits per game, which isn’t terrible, but it’s not translating into runs. They need a serious offensive and pitching turnaround.

The Astros, while not exactly lighting the world on fire, are in a much better position. Their offense, while not stellar with a .254 batting average, is supported by a much stronger pitching staff boasting a solid 3.42 ERA. Their bullpen, with 14 saves, provides a crucial late-game advantage. Their 8.43 hits per game and 4.04 runs per game show a more balanced and consistent performance compared to their opponents.

This is a fascinating pitching duel. Luis Severino (1-4, ERA 4.11) for the A’s is a solid arm, but he’s been inconsistent. Facing him is Lance McCullers Jr. (0-1, ERA 6.57) for the Astros, who’s had a rough start. While McCullers’ ERA is alarmingly high, it’s a small sample size. Severino’s recent performance gives the Astros a slight edge, but McCullers needs to find his command quickly.

Predicting a baseball game is always a gamble, but considering the Astros’ superior pitching and bullpen, combined with the A’s overall struggles, I’m picking the home team, Astros to win this one. Given the pitching matchup and the offensive struggles of both teams, I’m also going under the 8.5 total runs line. A low-scoring affair seems likely.